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Forex - More Hawkish Rhetoric From RBA Boosts Australian Dollar
Market Brief
GBP has continued to outperform this morning (GBPUSD 1.6355, EURGBP 0.9125) on a combination of chatter regarding M&A activity and rumours that the BoE will not be increasing QE in November. GBP-crosses have looked oversold for some time now, and this correction has brought us within reach of some key technical levels; the high so far in GBPUSD has been 1.6400, a break of 1.6468 opens up next target above 1.6700, meanwhile EURGBP’s pivotal support lies at 0.9070.
The Asian session was light in terms of significant data releases, however AUD was given a boost by hawkish rhetoric from RBA Governor Glenn Stevens that they cannot be “too timid” in raising rates; AUDUSD traded to a high of 0.9720 on the news, and after breaking up out of its rising wedge in the past few days and managing to hold above the upper trend line on the re-test, price action looks extremely bullish.
This morning’s data highlights will be Swiss Retail Sales, expected to increase 0.8% YoY in Aug (from 1.0% last month); a strong number is likely to increase the likelihood that we see USDCHF march onward towards parity (currently 1.0160), however EURCHF has so far remained wary of retesting intervention territory below 1.5130 and we expect the market to continue to respect this boundary given the conviction with which the SNB has defended it in the past few months.
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...News
Forex - More Hawkish Rhetoric From RBA Boosts Australian DollarForex Hound - Oct 16, 2009
This information is not intended as personalized investment advice and does not constitute a recommendation. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer and more »
Forbes - Oct 16, 2009
with foreign investors dumping debt on concerns over future rate policy and possible government controls on foreign banks' forex liquidity. and more »조선일보(영문판) - Oct 16, 2009
China's Forex Reserves Swell to Record SizeChina's Commerce Ministry on Thursday said foreign direct investment in September totaled $7.9 billion. FDI, which had been declining for the past 11 months China's forex reserves reach a record highChina foreign reserves at $3tChina's forex reserves swell to record $2.273trall 33 news articles »Forbes - Oct 16, 2009
But the ruling will only have an impact on bond and forex futures as the withholding tax on share trading has already been reduced to zero, and more »Channel News Asia - Oct 16, 2009
The Market OracleComments from European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet also appeared to support the dollar, according to Kathy Lien at Global Forex Trading. FOREX-US dollar hits 14-month low vs euro, currency basketDollar Closes Higher Against Selected Currency MarketsECB Trichet: Excessive Forex Mkt Volatilty Is An "Enemy" - -all 906 news articles »